Tingting i No Tru: Strateji bilong Rulet i Save Win Oltaim
“Mi gat sistem i win long 80% bilong ol taim.” Ating yu gat. Tasol em i lusim mani yet.
Sistem i ken mekim ol sesen i win i kamap planti taim. Em i no inap mekim ekspektet velyu i kamap win, long wanem olgeta bet em i putim em −1/37 bilong mani bilong bet, na ol ekspektet velyu i save bung wantaim. Ol sistem i save win planti taim tru, ol i lus bikpela tru taim ol i lus.
Wanem ol i tok
Tingting em olsem: long sampela hap i gat wanpela strateji bilong rulet i save win oltaim. Em i sistem bilong senisim mani bilong bet long wanem i bin kamap paslain, na em i mekim rulet i kamap pilai yu save win. Wanem ol i tok i soim: wanpela ran bilong sesen i win, wanpela video long olsem wanem long win long rulet olgeta taim, tok bilong wanpela man, wanpela spretsit bilong wanpela wik i gat gutpela luk. Planti taim man i tok tru; em i bilip long wanem sistem i bin wok.
Bilong wanem em i rong, long wanpela lain
Ol ekspektet velyumatematikEkspektet velyuAvarej resal long wanpela bet long longpela taim. −1/37 bilong mani bilong bet long olgeta bet olpasin bilong Yurop.Ritim olgeta → i save bung wantaim. Sapos wan wan bet i gat EV = −1/37 bilong mani bilong bet, olgeta lain bilong bet i gat EV = −1/37 bilong olgeta mani yu betim, maski wanem lo i makim ol mani bilong bet. Sistem em lo bilong makim mani bilong bet. Olsem na olgeta sistem i gat EV = −1/37 bilong olgeta mani yu betimmaniOlgeta mani yu betimOlgeta mani yu betim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim, wantaim mani yu win na yu betim gen. Narapela nem: handle, action.Ritim olgeta →. Dispela em wanpela lo bilong matematik (Doob na Halmos i soim long ol yia 1930; Thorp 1969 i tokaut long ol samting em i nidim), na em i no gat narapela rot long ol lo i gat gutpela tingting. Wanpela samting yu mas save em mani i liklik tru bilong bet: eksampel bilong Thorp i putim bet $1,000 long retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta →, bihain 90 sen, bihain 9 sen na i go, i kamap liklik oltaim. Long sans 18/37 namba wan bet i win na pleia i stap antap oltaim, tasol avarej i stap yet −1/37 bilong olgeta mani yu betim. Long tebol tru, mani i liklik tru i pasim dispela, na wantaim em olgeta hop long stap antap long longpela taim i pinis.
I Kam Klostu long Longpela Taim: Lo bilong Planti Namba long Rulet
Bilong wanem em i luk olsem em i wok
Ol progresenstratejiProgresenWanem lo i senisim mani bilong bet long ol resal i go pinis. Negative progresen i mekim bet i go antap bihain long lus, positive progresen bihain long win.Ritim olgeta → i go antap bihain long lus i mekim ol sesen i win i kamap planti taim. MartingalestratejiMartingaleProgresen i mekim bet i dabel bihain long olgeta lus. Lukim hap Strateji long wanem samting em i mekim na i no mekim.Ritim olgeta → i stat long $10 long mak $500 i pinisim klostu 80% bilong ol sesen bilong 100 tanim long antap liklik yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →. Pleia i ranim em long twentipela sesen i winim sikstin, na em i tingim dispela. Ol fopela sesen i lus, wan wan i lusim moa long wanem tenpela sesen i win i kisim, na matematik long twentipela sesen em i lus. Sistem i no senisim avarej; em i putim ol lus i go long liklik sesen tasol, na ol i bikpela moa, we em i isi long kolim nogut luk.
Tes olgeta man i ken mekim
Simulata bilong Strateji long dispela sait i ranim 10,000 sesen bilong wanem sistem, o kod bilong yu yet, insait long wanpela sekon. Makim sistem yu bilip long en na ritim avarej. Sapos avarej i win long wanpela seting, dispela pes bai tok olsem. Olgeta seting, olgeta sistem, olgeta mak bilong teboltebolMak bilong tebolBet liklik tru na bet bikpela tru ol i larim. Mak antap em i samting i stopim ol progresen i save dabel.Ritim olgeta → i givim avarej bilong −2.70% bilong olgeta mani yu betim, na liklik nois. Tok bilong ol man em i samting wanpela man i kaunim; simulata em i kaunim ten tausen.
Sistem i no inap lus
Long 1997 man bilong raitim long poker Mike Caro i putim wanpela sistem bilong rulet olsem tok pilai, na Gambling Times i prinim gen long 2001. Em i lista bilong ol bet yu no ken putim: no ken ret o blakbetBlakBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba blak. Tok Frans: noir.Ritim olgeta →, od o iven, o ol sirowilSiroWanpela grinpela hul we i no gat bet wan-long-wan, dosen o kolam i karamapim; em i as bilong edj bilong kasino. Narapela nem: wanpela siro, 0.Ritim olgeta →; no ken ol namba od i ret na ol namba iven i blak; na no ken putim long 30, o long longpela lain bilong ol hultulHulWanpela long ol 37 hul i gat namba long rota. Narapela nem: slot, cup.Ritim olgeta → long 11 i go raun olsem han bilong klok inap 14 long wil bilong Amerika. Putim ol lo wantaim na i no gat wanpela namba i stap. Ol hul tasol i stap ausait long dispela lain em 0, 28, 9, 26, 30 na 2; ol i tambuim 30 long nem bilong en, na ol narapela em siro, iven na blak, o od na ret. Pleia i bihainim sistem i no save putim bet na i no save lus. Edj bilong en em siro, na em tasol sistem bilong rulet i tok tru long olsem wanem em i kamap long dispela.
Ol sistem i gat nem, wanpela lain long wan wan
Ol sistem ol i salim wantaim nem, o olsem fomula bilong win long rulet, i no narakain. Wan wan em i bung bilong ol bet, na wan wan bet i baim 2.70% bilong en long wil. Bollman (2024) i wokim sampela long wil bilong Amerika, we wan wan i kostim 5.26%; hia ol i stap long wil bilong Yurop.
Tok tru
Ol sistem i senisim pasin bilong sesen: hamas taim yu win, ol win i bikpela olsem wanem, hevi nogut tru i bikpela olsem wanem. Ol dispela em ol tru samting yu ken makim, na pleia i ken laikim wanpela pasin moa long narapela. Wanem samting ol sistem i no senisim em prais: 2.70% bilong olgeta mani yu betim. Na long wanem ol progresen i betim moa mani long bet wankain oltaimstratejiBet wankain oltaimBetim wankain mani long olgeta tanim. Olgeta progresen ol i skelim wantaim dispela.Ritim olgeta →, ol i baim moa long en.
Ol askim
Sikis mun bilong wanpela sesen long wan wan wik em klostu 25 sesen. Martingale i winim 80% bilong ol. Ol sesen i lus i kam yet, na ol i bikpela moa.
Lo bilong stop i mekim olgeta mani yu betim i go daun, olsem na avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → i go daun tu. Em i no mekim em i kamap win.
Nogat long stretpela wil. Long wil i gat biaslaboratoriWil i gat biasWil we sampela bagarap long bodi bilong en i mekim sampela hul i kamap moa long 1/37. Em i no planti, na yu inap painim tasol wantaim planti tausen tanim yu raitim.Ritim olgeta →, we em i hevi bilong fisiks, i no sistem.
Amamas wantaim Matematik
Traim ol dispela yu yet pastaim. Bekim bilong wanwan i hait; opim taim yu redi.
Sistem bilong tok pilai bilong Mike Caro long 1997 bilong wil bilong Amerika i tambuim retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta → na blakbetBlakBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba blak. Tok Frans: noir.Ritim olgeta →, od na iven, na ol sirowilSiroWanpela grinpela hul we i no gat bet wan-long-wan, dosen o kolam i karamapim; em i as bilong edj bilong kasino. Narapela nem: wanpela siro, 0.Ritim olgeta →; ol namba od i ret na ol namba iven i blak; namba 30; na olgeta hultulHulWanpela long ol 37 hul i gat namba long rota. Narapela nem: slot, cup.Ritim olgeta → long lain long 11 i go raun olsem han bilong klok inap 14. Yusim ol lo wan wan. Wanem ol namba i stap yet bilong putim bet?
Soim bekim
Bekim Nogat wanpela. Sistem i no save putim bet, olsem na edj bilong en em siro stret.
Taim yu tambuim ret, blak, od, iven na ol siro, ol wan wan namba na ol liklik grup namel long 1 i go inap 36 i stap yet.
Nogat od i ret na nogat iven i blak i lusim ol iven i ret (12, 14, 16, 18, 30, 32, 34, 36) na ol od i blak (11, 13, 15, 17, 29, 31, 33, 35): sikstinpela namba. Tambuim 30 i lusim fiftinpela.
Long wil bilong Amerika, lain long 11 i go raun olsem han bilong klok inap 14 i karamapim 32 bilong 38 hul. Sikispela i stap ausait em 0, 28, 9, 26, 30 na 2. Olgeta fiftinpela i stap yet i stap insait long lain, olsem na laspela lo i rausim ol tu. Sistem i no save putim bet em wanpela tasol i no save lus, na dispela em tok bilong Caro.
Kryptos i ranim tripela MartingalestratejiMartingaleProgresen i mekim bet i dabel bihain long olgeta lus. Lukim hap Strateji long wanem samting em i mekim na i no mekim.Ritim olgeta → long wankain taim, wanpela long olgeta pea bilong bet wan-long-wanbetBet wan-long-wanRet/blak, od/iven, antap/daunbilo. 18 namba, pe em i 1:1.Ritim olgeta → (antap o daunbilo, od o iven, ret o blak), wantaim mani bilong bet 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 na i stop bihain long sikispela lus. Kisim wanpela bilong tripela long wil bilong Yurop. Hamas taim em i lusim olgeta sikispela bet, wanpela saikel i winim hamas long avarej, na dispela em wanem hap bilong mani ol i betim?
Soim bekim
Bekim Em i lusim olgeta sikispela klostu wanpela taim long 55 saikel, 1.83% bilong ol taim, na dispela i kostim 63 yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →. Long avarej, wanpela saikel i lusim klostu 0.17 yunit long 6.42 yunit ol i betim: 2.70%, kos bilong olgeta bet long wil.
Bet i lus wantaim sans 19/37, wantaim siro. Sikispela wanpela i bihainim narapela: (19/37)⁶ = 0.0183, klostu 1 long 55, na bihain ol mani bilong bet 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 = 63 i lus. Sapos nogat, saikel i pinis wantaim win na +1 yunit.
Avarej: 1 × (1 − 0.0183) − 63 × 0.0183 = 1 − 64 × 0.0183 = −0.17 yunit.
Mani ol i betim: namba wan bet ol i putim oltaim, namba tu bihain long lus tasol, na i go yet: 1 + 2 × (19/37) + 4 × (19/37)² + … + 32 × (19/37)⁵ = 6.42 yunit. Na −0.17/6.42 = −2.70%.
Sikispela tanim ol i raitim i makim tasol wanem sait olgeta bet i stap long en, na wil i no inap save long ol. Taim yu ranim olgeta tripela, mani yu betim i kamap tripela taim na avarej lus tu. Bollman (2024) i wokim sistem long wil bilong Amerika, we olgeta wan wan bilong ol i lusim sikispela wanpela i bihainim narapela 2.1% bilong ol taim.
Liklik lap
Win planti taim na winim mani em tupela narakain namba.
Ol As bilong Save
- Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.”
- Thorp, E. O. The Mathematics of Gambling.
- Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.”
- Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.”
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette.
- Bollman, M. Basic Gambling Mathematics: The Numbers Behind the Neon, 2nd ed.