Ol Strateji bilong Bet long Rulet · Yusim long pilai · 7 min

Mak bilong Stop long Lus / Mak bilong Stop long Win

Lo bilong stop em wanpela hap tasol bilong “sistem” i gat strong tru, long wanem em i senisim hamas mani yu betim.

Sotpela bekim

Sapos yu stop kwik, olgeta mani yu betim i go daun, olsem na avarej lus tu i go daun. Em i no givim yu edj. Mak bilong stop long win i no “pasim” wanpela samting tanim i kam bihain i no inap givim o kisim.

senis long EV / $
nogat
senis long olgeta mani yu betim
bikpela
senis long varians
bikpela
husat i makim
yu yet, pastaim

Mak bilong stop long lus

Makim mani yu laik lusim, na lusim tebol taim em i pinis. Em i pasim risalt nogut tru, em i pinisim sesen bipo yu stat long ronim lus, na em i mekim avarej kost bilong nait yu inap kaunim: i no inap winim mak bilong stop long lusstratejiMak bilong stop long lusNamba lus yu makim pastaim, na taim yu kamap long en yu pinisim sesen.Ritim olgeta →, planti taim i liklik moa. Long olgeta lo long dispela sait, em i lo i save senisim tru samting i painim pleia, long wanem em wanpela tasol i save pinisim sesen oltaim.

Mak bilong stop long win

Makim wanpela mak na lusim tebol taim yu kamap long en. Em i mekim ol sesen i win i kamap planti moa na liklik moa. Long planti sesen, avarej i stap yet long −2.70% bilong olgeta mani yu betimmaniOlgeta mani yu betimOlgeta mani yu betim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim, wantaim mani yu win na yu betim gen. Narapela nem: handle, action.Ritim olgeta →. Yu senisim wanem taim ol lus i kamap tasol, yu no rausim ol. Tok “pasim win” em i tok long pilim tasol. Tanim i kam bihain i gat sans 18/37 oltaim, maski yu pilaim long dispela nait o long wik i kam.

$10 long ret, mani bilong sesen $500, 100 tanim antap trunogat stopmak bilong stop long lus $100mak bilong stop long win $100tupela wantaim
ol sesen i pinis wantaim win≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
avarej risalt−$27−$22−$20−$16
5% bilong ol sesen i nogut tru−$190−$100−$190−$100
5% bilong ol sesen i gutpela tru+$140+$140+$100+$100
avarej tanim yu pilaim100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
Long simulesen. Ol stop i katim avarej lus long rot bilong katim ol tanim tasol. Lus long wanpela tanim i no senis.

Wanpela olpela tok pait

Longpela taim ol manmeri i tok pait long sapos yu stop taim yu win em i helpim o nogat. Saveman bilong lojik John Venn i tok olsem: pleia em wanpela tasol inap makim wanem taim long stop i gat edj, sapos kredit i no gat mak. Lord Rayleigh i bekim olsem: sapos tupela sait i gat mani i gat mak, dispela edj i lus. Ol teorem bilong nau tu i tok wankain: nogat lo bilong wanem taim long stop i senisim avarej risalt long wanpela yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta → yu betim (Epstein, 2013). Tok Frans i gat tok bilong lusim tebol taim yu win, faire Charlemagne. Em i nem bilong pasin, em i no edj.

John Venn i tok olsem pleia i makim wanem taim long stop i gat edj; Lord Rayleigh i bekim olsem sapos mani i gat mak, edj i lus.

Bilong wanem avarej i kamap gutpela moa

I no long wanem stop i painim gutpela taim long lusim tebol. Em long wanem sesen i pinis bihain long 60 tanim i betim 60 bet tasol, i no 100, na em i peim 2.70% long liklik dola moa. Olgeta lo i katim olgeta mani yu betim i katim avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → long wankain hap stret: mak bilong stop long lus, mak bilong stop long winstratejiMak bilong stop long winMak bilong win yu makim pastaim, na taim yu kamap long en yu pinisim sesen.Ritim olgeta →, mak bilong taim, mak bilong hamas tanim, o liklik mani bilong bet tasol.

Makim ol namba

Mak bilong stop long lus bilong 20–40% bilong mani bilong sesen i mekim nait nogut yu inap karim. Na em i no sotpela tumas inap long variansmatematikVariansMak bilong hamas ol resal i kalap nabaut long ekspektet velyu. I bikpela long bet long wanpela namba, i liklik long bet wan-long-wan.Ritim olgeta → nating i kirapim long planti nait. Mak bilong stop long win bilong 20–50% bilong mani bilong sesen yu inap kisim long planti sesen (bet wan-long-wan i kamap long +$100 long $500 long wanpela taim long klostu hap bilong ol sesen bilong 100 tanim), na em i no liklik tumas. Ol namba i bilong yu yet; tasol pasin bilong raitim ol i no bilong yu wanpela.

Ten sesen long $10; mak bilong stop long lus $100 bai pinisim kwik ol sesen i go daunrisal na stat
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500tanimrisal
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · vaiolet p10/p25/p75/p90, blu i no strong namba long namel, 83 eksampel i no klia tumas · muvim maus antap long sat long lukim ol kwantail long wanpela tanim
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • namba long namel −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · lain y i katim long 1 i go 99 pesen (namba i go longwe tru −$500 i go +$640) · 500 tanim · $10 bilong stat · wan-long-wan

Lo bilong ol lo

Lo bilong stop i wok sapos yu makim pastaim bipo sesen, na yu no senisim taim sesen i wok yet. “Wanpela tanim moa tasol long kamap stret gen” em i man ol i wokim lo bilong lukautim em i wok long senisim mak bilong stop long lus. Sapos yu lukim dispela i kamap, daunim mani bilong bet, no ken apim mak.

Ol askim

Mak bilong stop long win i winim kasino?

Nogat. Em i mekim ol liklik win i kamap planti moa, na avarej long longpela taim i stap long −2.70% bilong mani yu betim.

Mak bilong taim i gutpela olsem mak bilong stop long lus?

Em i katim olgeta mani yu betim long wankain rot, na i isi moa long bihainim. Usim tupela.

Sapos mi kamap kwik long mak bilong stop long win nau?

Lusim tebol. Em i lo. Ol tanim yu no pilaim i no kostim wanpela samting.

Liklik lap

Stop i katim olgeta mani yu betim. Em tasol wok bilong en, na em i inap.

Stop i katim olgeta mani yu betim. Em tasol wok bilong en, na em i inap.

Ol As bilong Save

  1. RouletteDoc. Lukluk long olgeta strateji bilong rulet. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Lukluk long olgeta strateji bilong rulet. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sapta 13, rulet.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, namba 2 edisen. Academic Press, 2013.
mipela i skelim gen long 2026-09-28model: Yurop, wanpela sirometodoloji ↗ol as bilong save ↗