Lukim Ol Sesen · Lukim Sesen · 6 min

Lukim Sesen: 1-3-2-6

Mani bilong bet em 1, 3, 2 na 6 yunit taim yu win i bihainim narapela win, na i go bek long 1 taim yu lus. Lukim dispela progresenstratejiProgresenWanem lo i senisim mani bilong bet long ol resal i go pinis. Negative progresen i mekim bet i go antap bihain long lus, positive progresen bihain long win.Ritim olgeta → i go antap, wan wan tanim.

Sotpela bekim

Wanpela sesen bilong 60 tanim ol i simulatim, long 1-3-2-6, wantaim $10 long wanpela yunit long retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta →. Tetitri traim: sikstin i go winim step wan, seven i go winim step tu, tupela i pinis olgeta na kisim +$120 wan wan. Long pinis em −$50, bihain long taim em i bin antap $80. Em i wanpela Paroli i gat malolo insait long en.

yunit

$10 long ret

lain step

1 → 3 → 2 → 6

p(i pinis olgeta)

5.6%

win tru taim i pinis

+$120

Wokabaut long sistem

Win i muv wanpela step i go het. Lus, o win namba foa, i go bek long stat.

bet bihain1risal inap nau0tanim0

Ol bet na ol risal i stap long yunit bilong bet bilong stat.

Plen

Putim bet long 1 yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →. Sapos yu win, putim 3 (dispela 2 i stap long tebol, na 1 moa bilong yumi). Sapos yu win gen, putim 2 na putim hap i stap long poket bilong yu. Sapos yu win namba tri taim, putim 6. Win namba fo i pinisim lain step na yu kisim +12 yunit. Wanem lus i kam, yu go bek long 1. Ol i wokim lain step olsem: lus long step tu i kisim 2 yunit bilong yumi; lus long step tri i lusim yumi wantaim +2 yet (yumi stap +4 bihain long step tu na yumi riskim 2); na lus long step fo i lusim yumi long stret ples (yumi stap +6 na yumi riskim 6). Samting i pulim tingting em olsem: lus long step tri na fo i no kisim planti mani bilong yumi yet.

Ol tanim 1–30

Etin traim. Ten i lus long step wan (−$10 wan wan), faiv long step tu (−$20 wan wan), tupela long step tri (+$20 wan wan), na wanpela i pinis olgeta long ol tanim 27–30 (R R R R, +$120). Bihain long 30 tanim em −$40, na long tanim 26 em i bin −$160. Lain step i pinis olgeta i luk olsem sistem i wok. Tasol em i 5.6% tasol i kamap long taim em i mas kamap.

traimlain stepmani bilong betmani bilong yu i stap long heviwin tru

1L10$10−$10

2W L10, 30$20−$20

3W W L10, 30, 20$0+$20

4–17planti L long step 1≤ 30≤ $20−$150

18W W W W10, 30, 20, 60$0+$120

bihain long 3018 traim, 1 i pinis olgeta−$40

Ol tanim 31–60

Fiftin traim. Wanpela i pinis olgeta long ol tanim 44–47 na kisim +$120. Tupela i kamap long step fo na lus long en (wan wan em $0 win tru: +$60 i win, na bihain $60 i go long bet na lus). Long dispela hap em −$10; long pinis em −$50; antap tru em +$80 long tanim 47. Tupela i pinis olgeta insait long 33 traim, na ol i ting 1.8 bai kamap: em i samting yumi ken ting long en.

Progresen i go antap: dispela sesen na ileven narapela olsemrisal na stat

1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · vaiolet p10/p25/p75/p90, blu i no strong namba long namel, 82 eksampel i no klia tumas · muvim maus antap long sat long lukim ol kwantail long wanpela tanim

p10 −$800
p25 −$520
namba long namel −$240
p75 +$70
p90 +$350

1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · lain y i katim long 1 i go 99 pesen (namba i go longwe tru −$1,000 i go +$1,200) · 500 tanim · $10 bilong stat · wan-long-wan

Liklik lus oltaim, na sampela taim em i kalap antap. 1-3-2-6 na Paroli i gat wankain pasin; lain step i senisim hamas tasol.

Kaunim mani

Olgeta mani yu betim em klostu $1,200, na sapos yu bet wankain oltaim em bai $600. Avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → em $32; lus tru em −$50, insait long wanpela standet diviesenmatematikStandet diviesenSkwea rut bilong varians; hamas longwe resal i save stap long ekspektet velyu.Ritim olgeta →. Pasin bilong lain step i mekim olsem: long wanpela longpela traim, planti mani i stap long tebol em mani yumi bin winim tupela tanim bipo. Dispela em i giaman tingting i mekim yumi pilim gutpela. Em i mani bilong yumi stret long taim dila i peim yumi.

Ol sip dila i peim tupela tanim bipo, em i mani bilong pleia pinis.

Wanem samting sesen i soim

1-3-2-6 em i wanpela ParolistratejiParoliPositive progresen: dabel bihain long win, go bek long stat bihain long lus o bihain long tripela win wan bihain long narapela. Narapela nem: Martingale i go baksait.Ritim olgeta →. Ol i stretim hamas mani bilong bet bai ol bihain step i luk olsem i fri. SansmatematikSansSans bilong wanpela resal, long 0 i go 1 o 0% i go 100%. Wanpela namba: 1/37 = 2.70%.Ritim olgeta → bilong pinis olgeta em (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%, na pemaniPeMani bet i win i givim yu, ol i tok olsem “X long 1”, antap long mani bilong bet i kam bek.Ritim olgeta → taim yu pinis olgeta em 12 yunit. Matematik i makim tupela samting dispela. Pasin bilong putim mani i makim tasol olsem wanem dispela 2.70% em i mas kamap i go long planti liklik lus na sampela bikpela win. Long pleia i laikim bihainim wanpela lain step, em i no bagarapim em. Tasol em i no wanpela rot bilong win.

Ol askim

Bilong wanem 1-3-2-6 na i no 1-2-4-8?

1-2-4-8 em i Paroli i go inap long fopela win; em i riskim olgeta mani long olgeta step. 1-3-2-6 i putim 2 yunit long sait bihain long step tu, olsem na lus long step tri i no kisim wanpela mani bilong yu. Ekspektet velyu i wankain.

Olgeta sesen i save luk olsem wanem?

Em i go daun liklik, na wanpela o tupela taim em i kalap antap. Klostu tupela sesen insait long faivpela i pinis antap bihain long 60 tanim long dispela yunit.

Mi ken go yet bihain long pinis olgeta?

Sampela pleia i go yet long 1-3-2-6-12. Neks step i win long 2.7% bilong olgeta taim (faivpela ret i kamap wantaim wantaim), na pasin i stap wankain.

Liklik lap

Fopela win wantaim wantaim: 5.6%. Lain step i makim tasol olsem wanem yu pilim.

Ol As bilong Save

Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sapta 13, rulet.

mipela i skelim gen long 2026-09-28model: Yurop, wanpela sirometodoloji ↗ol as bilong save ↗