Lukim Sesen: Wanpela Lain Labouchère
Raitim 1-2-3-4, putim bet long tupela namba long pinis bilong lain, rausim ol taim yu win, na putim lus long pinis. Sistem bilong rausim namba long wanpela lain i pinis gut na wanpela i ran i go longwe.
Wanpela sesen bilong Labouchère ol i simulatim, wantaim $5 long wanpela yunit na mak $50 long wanpela lain. Namba wan lain i pinis long 8 tanim na i givim stret $50. Namba tu lain i go inap long 16 namba na mani bilong bet $200, na bihain mak bilong teboltebolMak bilong tebolBet liklik tru na bet bikpela tru ol i larim. Mak antap em i samting i stopim ol progresen i save dabel.Ritim olgeta → i mekim yumi lusim em, daun $400. Planti taim em i wok, na bihain em i no wok.
Wokabaut long sistem
Bet em namba fes na namba las i bung. Win i katim tupela namba. Lus i raitim bet long las bilong lain.
Ol bet na ol risal i stap long yunit bilong bet bilong stat.
Plen
Raitim 1 2 3 4 long wanpela kad. Long olgeta tanim, putim mani bilong bet long retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta →: em i namba bilong tupela namba long tupela pinis bilong lain i bung. Win i rausim tupela namba; lus i putim mani bilong bet long pinis long han sut. Lain i pinis taim i no gat namba i stap, na em i givim olgeta namba bilong stat, 10 yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →, $50. Lain i laikim wanpela win tasol long olgeta tupela lus bilong pinis, bikos wanpela win i rausim tupela namba na wanpela lus i putim wanpela tasol. Ret i win long 48.65% bilong ol tanim. Dispela i winim wanpela long tripela em i mas kamap, olsem na planti lain i pinis gut.
Lain 1, ol tanim 1–8
1 2 3 4 → mani bilong bet 5 (1+4): L, lain 1 2 3 4 5. Bet 6: W, lain 2 3 4. Bet 6: L, lain 2 3 4 6. Bet 8: W, lain 3 4. Bet 7: L, lain 3 4 7. Bet 10: W, lain 4. Bet 4: L, lain 4 4. Bet 8: W, i pinis. Et tanim, fopela win na fopela lus. Win tru +$50, stret olsem mak, na mani bilong bet i no go antap long $50. Em i wok olsem wanpela liklik masin.
Lain 2, ol tanim 9–39
1 2 3 4 gen. Ileven lus long namba wan twelv tanim. Olgeta lus i putim wanpela namba em i tupela narapela namba i bung, olsem na lain i kamap longpela na ol namba i kamap bikpela: bihain long twelv tanim em i olsem 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18, na mani bilong bet em $100. Long tanim 23 em i gat 16 namba, na saikel i stap long −$850. Ol win i rausim ol bikpela namba long pinis, na dispela i helpim: nainpela win long neks fiftin tanim i katim lain i go long 12 14 16 18 na saikel i go long −$250 long tanim 38. Long rot, mani bilong bet i kamap long mak $200. Na bihain sirowilSiroWanpela grinpela hul we i no gat bet wan-long-wan, dosen o kolam i karamapim; em i as bilong edj bilong kasino. Narapela nem: wanpela siro, 0.Ritim olgeta → i kamap: mani bilong bet $150 i lus, lain i olsem 12 14 16 18 30, na neks mani bilong bet, $210, i winim mak. Saikel i stap long −$400. Yumi stop. Lain bai pinis wantaim +$50 long bihain, sapos “bihain” i kamap pastaim long mak na pastaim long mani bilong pilaimaniMani bilong pilaiOlgeta mani yu putim long sait bilong pilai. Lukautim mani bilong pilai em i makim hamas long en yu redi long lusim long wanpela bet na long wanpela sesen.Ritim olgeta → i pinis.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- namba long namel −$500
- p75 −$500
- p90 +$1,360
Kaunim mani
Olgeta mani yu betim em $3,770 long 39 tanim, na bet wankain oltaim bai $195. Avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → long $3,770 em $102; lus tru em −$350, klostu wan hap long tripela bilong wanpela standet diviesenmatematikStandet diviesenSkwea rut bilong varians; hamas longwe resal i save stap long ekspektet velyu.Ritim olgeta → daunbilo, bikos long dispela kain mani bilong bet wanpela standet diviesen em klostu $700. Wanpela lain bilong LabouchèrestratejiLabouchèreSistem bilong katim: raitim wanpela lain namba, betim tupela namba long pinis bilong lain i bung wantaim, katim tupela bihain long win, putim mani bilong bet yu lusim bihain long lus.Ritim olgeta → i ran i go longwe i givim olgeta mani yu betimmaniOlgeta mani yu betimOlgeta mani yu betim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim, wantaim mani yu win na yu betim gen. Narapela nem: handle, action.Ritim olgeta → i hevi moa long olgeta narapela sistem ol man i save yusim. Olgeta lus i mekim mani bilong bet i go antap long hamas mani i lus, na lain i no gat mak antap, tasol mak bilong tebol.
Wanem samting sesen i soim
Labouchère i gat wanpela narakain pasin: planti taim em i wok. Long dispela as, ol man i save toktok long en long ol bikpela kaikai long taim bilong Victoria, na long dispela as ol i salim yet. Ol lain i pinis gut i liklik na i kamap planti taim; lain i ran i go longwe i bikpela na i kamap sampela taim tasol, na i no gat mak long bikpela bilong en. Avarej lus long wan wan dola em −2.70% long tupela hap, na sistem i mekim wanpela samting tasol: em i makim wanem hap yu stap long wanpela nait.
Ol askim
Yes: lain 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 yu ken brukim long tupela lain wantaim wankain namba olgeta. Dispela i mekim mani bilong bet i go daun na i dabelim hamas lain yu mas pinisim. Em i senisim pasin bilong en, i no pe.
Lain 1 1 em mak bilong tupela yunit wantaim mani bilong bet $10; em i pinis hariap na em i ran i go longwe hariap wankain. Longpela bilong lain i makim mak tasol.
Yes, wantaim klostu twelv narapela nem. Henry Labouchère i mekim em i kamap nem long ol yia 1870; em i no man i bin wokim em pastaim.
Liklik lap
Planti taim em i pinis gut. Ol narakain taim i laikim moa pepa.
Ol As bilong Save
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling.