Lukim Ol Sesen · Lukim Sesen · 7 min

Lukim Sesen: Oscar’s Grind

Wanpela yunit i go antap bihain long win, wankain mani bilong bet bihain long lus, na pinisim saikel taim yu antap wanpela yunit. Sistem i isi tru long olgeta, inap wan handet tanim.

Sotpela bekim

Wanpela sesen bilong Oscar’s Grind ol i simulatim long 100 tanim, long $10 long wanpela yunit long blakbetBlakBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba blak. Tok Frans: noir.Ritim olgeta →. Etpela saikel i pinis long +$10 wan wan. Wanpela long ol i pinis bihain long 41 tanim, wantaim mani bilong bet $50 na lus long antap i go daun $230. Namba nain saikel i stap op yet long −$140 taim sesen i pinis. Win tru −$60. Varians i liklik, nogat klif, wankain edj.

yunit
$10 long blak
lo
+1 yunit bihain long win, wankain bihain long lus
mak bilong saikel
+1 yunit
wanem i kamap
−$60 long 100 tanim

Wokabaut long sistem

Lus i holim wankain bet. Win i putim wanpela yunit moa, tasol i no winim samting saikel i nidim bilong kamap +1. Long +1 nupela saikel i stat.

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bet bihain1dispela saikel0risal inap nau0tanim0

Ol bet na ol risal i stap long yunit bilong bet bilong stat.

Plen

Putim bet long wanpela yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →. Bihain long lus, putim wankain bet gen. Bihain long win, putim wanpela yunit moa. Tasol sapos dispela bai mekim saikel i go winim +1 yunit, putim tasol mani yu nidim long pinis stret long +1. Taim saikel i antap wanpela yunit, stat gen long wanpela yunit. Mani bilong bet i go antap long ol win tasol, olsem na ran bilong lus i no save mekim em i kamap bikpela. Hatwok i kamap long wanem yu nidim ran bilong win long kalap i go antap long hul yu bin dikim long liklik mani bilong bet.

Sans bilong Ol Ran long Rulet

Ol tanim 1–30

Fopela saikel i pinis. Longpela tru i ran ilevenpela tanim: L L L (−$30 long $10), W (−$20, mani bilong bet i go long $20), L L (−$60), W (−$40, mani bilong bet i go long $30), W (−$10; $40 bai go winim mak, olsem na putim $20), L (−$30), W (−$10), W: saikel long +$10, i pinis. Win tru bihain long 30 tanim +$40. Mani bilong bet i no go antap long $30. Em i sistem i no amamas tru long olgeta long dispela sait, na dispela em i gutpela tok.

saikelol tanimmani bilong bet i antap trulus long antap i go daunwin tru
13$20−$10+$10
211$30−$60+$10
35$20−$20+$10
411$30−$50+$10
bihain long 304 saikel+$40

Ol tanim 31–71

Longpela saikel. Etpela lus long ol namba wan tenpela tanim i dikim −$50. Ol win i mekim mani bilong bet i go antap long $20, $30, $40, $50; ol lus long dispela ol mani bilong bet i dikim i go daun moa, inap −$230 long tanim 52. Long hap, wanpela gutpela hap, ilevenpela win long sikstinpela tanim long mani bilong bet $40–$50, i kalap i go bek antap, na saikel i pinis long tanim 71 long +$10. Fotiwan tanim, $230 i stap long hevi long hap nogut tru, na wanpela yunit tasol i kamap.

Dispela sesen na nainpela narapela olsemrisal na stat
+$1,110$0−$1,000+$890−$5000125250375500tanimrisal
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · vaiolet p10/p25/p75/p90, blu i no strong namba long namel, 83 eksampel i no klia tumas · muvim maus antap long sat long lukim ol kwantail long wanpela tanim
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • namba long namel −$1,000
  • p75 +$710
  • p90 +$880
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · lain y i katim long 1 i go 99 pesen (namba i go longwe tru −$1,000 i go +$1,280) · 500 tanim · $10 bilong stat · wan-long-wan
I stap stret long longpela hap, liklik step i go antap, na sampela taim daunbilo tru, na i kalap i go bek isi isi. Avarej i go daun olsem oltaim.
Fotiwan tanim na daun $230 long hap nogut tru, long pinis long antap wanpela yunit.

Ol tanim 72–100

Tripela saikel moa i pinis, na wanpela i stap op long tanim 100 long −$140 wantaim mani bilong bet $30. Long pinis −$60: etpela saikel long +$10 na wanpela saikel i op yet long −$140 (sesen bilong Oscar i save pinis olsem wantaim saikel i op yet, long wanem ol saikel i longpela).

Kaunim mani

Avarej mani bilong bet klostu $22, olgeta mani yu betim klostu $2,200, na pleia i bet wankain oltaim i betim $1,000. Avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → $59; lus tru −$60. Sesen i pinis klostu stret long avarej. Oscar’s Grind i save mekim olsem moa long ol narapela sistem long wanem variansmatematikVariansMak bilong hamas ol resal i kalap nabaut long ekspektet velyu. I bikpela long bet long wanpela namba, i liklik long bet wan-long-wan.Ritim olgeta → bilong en i liklik: mani bilong bet i go antap tasol taim yumi win, na em i no save dabel.

Wanem samting sesen i soim

Oscar’s Grind em sistem wanpela man i bin save gut long ol narapela i wokim. Em i no gat klif, mani bilong bet i stap liklik, na em i givim longpela ran bilong liklik win. Prais em taim: ol saikel i ken ran inap foti tanim, na wanpela yunit win long pinis yu baim wantaim lus long antap i go daunmaniLus long antap i go daunMani bilong pilai i pundaun long mak antap tru i go daun long wanpela mak daunbilo bihain insait long wanpela sesen. Bikpela tru long dispela pundaun ol i kolim maksimum.Ritim olgeta → i bikpela twenti taim moa. Avarej lus long wan wan dola yu betim em 2.70%, na hatwok i putim moa dola.

Ol askim

Husat em Oscar?

Wanpela pleia bilong craps Allan Wilson i raitim long en long The Casino Gambler’s Guide (1965). Sistem i olpela moa long nem.

Varians i liklik em i gutpela?

Em i min olsem wanem i kamap long yu bai stap klostu long avarej. Avarej em i lus. Varians i liklik em i gutpela sapos yu laik save long prais bilong wanpela nait, na em i nogut sapos yu laik gat sans long bikpela win.

Wanem samting i pinisim saikel i no laik pinis?

Mani bilong pilaimaniMani bilong pilaiOlgeta mani yu putim long sait bilong pilai. Lukautim mani bilong pilai em i makim hamas long en yu redi long lusim long wanpela bet na long wanpela sesen.Ritim olgeta → bilong yu o isi bel bilong yu. Sistem i no gat lo bilong stop; pleia i mas kisim wanpela i kam.

Liklik lap

Rot i isi tru long lusim 2.70%. Na em i rot i bel isi tru.

Rot i isi tru long lusim 2.70%. Na em i rot i bel isi tru.

Ol As bilong Save

  1. Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide. Harper & Row, 1965.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sapta 13, rulet.
mipela i skelim gen long 2026-09-28model: Yurop, wanpela sirometodoloji ↗ol as bilong save ↗