Strateji Andrucci bilong Rulet
Lukim wil inap liklik taim, painim namba i kamap planti taim moa, na bihain putim bet long en. Em i luk olsem yu painim wil i gat bias; ol namba i tok nogat.
Bihain long 37 tanim, olgeta wil i soim wanpela “hat” namba, i gat bias o nogat: namba i kamap planti taim moa planti taim i kamap tripela o fopela taim long laki tasol. Sapos yu putim bet long wanpela namba long en long ol 37 tanim i kam bihain, em i kostim 2.70% bilong olgeta sipmaniSipSamting i makim wanpela namba mani i no save senis, yu putim long laiaut bilong mekim bet. Narapela nem: check.Ritim olgeta →, wankain olsem narapela namba. Na maski long wil i gat bias tru, lukluk bilong 37 tanim i painim hul i gat bias long klostu wanpela taim long tupela ten tasol.
Ol i save pilai sistem Andrucci olsem wanem?
Raitim olgeta risal long 30 inap 37 tanim. Long dispela taim, putim liklik bet long ol sans wan-long-wan, o no ken betim. Makim namba i kamap planti taim moa. Bihain putim wanpela yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta → olsem bet long wanpela nambabetWanpela nambaWanpela namba tasol, pe em i 35:1.Ritim olgeta → long en long klostu wankain namba bilong tanim gen. Sampela kain i bihainim tupela o tripela hat nambatingting i no truHat nambaNamba i bin kamap planti moa long yu ting long taim i no longpela i go pinis. Long stretpela wil, em i no tokaut long wanpela samting.Ritim olgeta →, na sampela i senis i go long namba i stap namba wan long kaunting taim pilai i go. Nem i nogat stori yu ken bilip long en: ol buk i tok em i wanpela pleia bilong Las Vegas long ol yia 1970, o wanpela man bilong statistik bilong Itali, o nogat wanpela man, na i nogat wanpela bilong ol i givim sos.
Bilong wanem olgeta wil i gat hat namba?
Long 37 tanim bilong wil i nogat bias, wanwan namba i kamap wanpela taim long avarej, tasol ol tanim i no skelim stret long olgeta namba. Namba i kamap planti taim moa i kamap tripela taim stret long 47% bilong ol kain ran olsem, fopela taim stret long 40%, na faivpela taim o moa long 11%. Kaunting bilong fopela o moa long 37 tanim i luk olsem wanpela pasin, na laki tasol i mekim dispela klostu long wanwan tupela nait.
Hap bilong putim bet i save pe olsem wanem?
Taim lukluk i pinis, sistem em i bet long wanpela namba yu pilaim 37 taim. Namba yu makim i win wantaim sans 1/37 long wanwan tanim, olsem olgeta namba. Em i no kamap long olgeta 37 tanim long 36.3% bilong ol sesen, na yu kisim −37 yunit; em i kamap wanpela taim long 37.3%, na yu kisim −1; na em i kamap tupela taim o moa long 26.4%, na yu kisim +35 yunit o moa. Long avarej, wanpela sesen i lusim 1 yunit long olgeta 37 yu betim: 2.70%.
Sapos wil i gat bias tru nau?
Ol pleia i painim wil i gat biaslaboratoriWil i gat biasWil we sampela bagarap long bodi bilong en i mekim sampela hul i kamap moa long 1/37. Em i no planti, na yu inap painim tasol wantaim planti tausen tanim yu raitim.Ritim olgeta → i save lukim wanpela namba i kamap planti taim tumas, tasol ol i kaunim planti tausen tanim, i no 37. Tingim olsem wanpela hultulHulWanpela long ol 37 hul i gat namba long rota. Narapela nem: slot, cup.Ritim olgeta → i kamap wanpela taim long 30 tanim, i no wanpela taim long 37: em i bikpela bias, na em i givim +20% long husat i betim. Lukluk bilong 37 tanim i makim dispela hul olsem namba i kamap planti taim moa long klostu 4.7% bilong ol taim tasol, na tingting nating i kisim 2.7%. Long wanem, ol liklik win moa bilong en i lus namel long ol narapela risal. Long avarej bilong wanem namba lukluk i makim, Andrucci long dispela wil i lusim yet klostu 2.2% bilong mani bilong bet. Bilong painim bias olsem long stretpela we, yu mas kaunim planti tausen tanim.
Bilong wanem ol man i laikim?
Em i kisim tok bilong painim bias tru, na sampela taim tok bilong saiens bilong kaos, na em i givim pleia wanpela wok long mekim taim wil i tanim. Wanpela gutpela samting bilong en em mani bilong bet i no save senis: em i no betim moa long narapela pleia i betim wanpela namba, olsem na em i no lus hariap moa long em.
Ol askim
Nogat. Long wil i nogat bias, hat namba em i wanpela namba olsem olgeta narapela, na olgeta sip long en i kostim 2.70%.
Long pe, yes. Ronim hat namba na wetim kol namba “i mas kam nau” em i wankain bet long wanpela namba long wankain pe.
Planti tausen. Lukim Olsem Wanem long Painim Bias bilong Wil bilong Rulet, na Hamas Samting Yu Kaunim.
Amamas wantaim Matematik
Traim ol dispela yu yet pastaim. Bekim bilong wanwan i hait; opim taim yu redi.
Bihain long 37 tanim, buk bilong yu i soim olsem 23 i kamap faivpela taim. Dispela i narakain olsem wanem long 23 yet? Na i narakain olsem wanem long namba i kamap planti tru long ol dispela 37 tanim i gat faiv o moa?
Soim bekim
Bekim Long 23 yu kolim pastaim, faiv o moa win long 37 tanim i kamap klostu wanpela taim long 327 ran. Long wanem namba i kamap planti tru, klostu wanpela ran long nain. Namba tu em askim buk i bekim tru.
Long wanpela namba yu kolim, ol win long 37 tanim i bihainim binomial distribution wantaim sans 1/37 long wanwan tanim. Sans bilong 0, 1, 2, 3 na 4 win i bung i kamap 99.69%, olsem na faiv o moa em 0.31%, klostu 1 long 327.
Tasol nogat man i kolim 23 pastaim long ol tanim; ol i makim em long wanem em i kamap planti tru. Wantaim 37 namba i resis, wanpela bilong ol i kamap faiv i ken kamap planti moa: klostu 11% bilong ran bilong 37 tanim, long simulesen bilong mipela (lukim namba tebol antap).
Olsem na kaunim bilong faiv i narakain long namba yu makim pastaim na i nomol long namba i stap pas long kaunim. Betim namba i stap pas bihain em bet long wanpela nambabetWanpela nambaWanpela namba tasol, pe em i 35:1.Ritim olgeta → olsem olgeta narapela, long 2.70%.
Liklik lap
Olgeta wil i gat hat namba. Rendom i save luk olsem.
Ol As bilong Save
- RouletteDoc. Stori bilong strateji na ol eksampel.
- Roulette77. Stori bilong strateji na ol eksampel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.