Lukim Ol Sesen · Lukim Sesen · 7 min

Lukim Sesen: Bet Bond i Kalap Olgeta Hap

$140 long antap, $50 long bet long sikispela namba 13–18, $10 long siro: $200 long wan wan tanim, 25 namba i stap aninit long bet. Bet James Bond i spredim, inap twentipela tanim.

Sotpela bekim

Wanpela sesen ol i simulatim long 20 tanim, long bet i spredim we ol i salim olsem strateji bilong James Bond. Twelpela win bilong $80, tripela taim bet long sikispela namba i kisim long $100, wanpela siro long $160, na fopela lus bilong $200 long 1–12. Win tru +$620, na em i no go daun winim $40. Spred i karamapim klostu tupela hap long tri bilong wil. Taim wanpela namba i no stap aninit long bet i kamap, olgeta $200 bilong bet i lus.

long wan wan tanim
$200
i karamapim
25 long 37
p(win)
67.6%
avarej long wan wan tanim
−$5.41

Plen

Long tebol olsem bilong Frans: $140 long 19–36, $50 long bet long sikispela nambabetBet long sikispela nambaSikispela namba long tupela lain i stap klostu, pe em i 5:1. Tok Frans: sixain.Ritim olgeta → 13–18, $10 long sirowilSiroWanpela grinpela hul we i no gat bet wan-long-wan, dosen o kolam i karamapim; em i as bilong edj bilong kasino. Narapela nem: wanpela siro, 0.Ritim olgeta →. Twentifaivpela namba i stap aninit long bet. Namba antap i pe $140 na i lusim $60: +$80. Namba bilong bet long sikispela namba i pe $250 na i lusim $150: +$100. Siro i pe $350 na i lusim $190: +$160. Wanpela namba long 1–12 i lusim olgeta: −$200. Ekspektet velyumatematikEkspektet velyuAvarej resal long wanpela bet long longpela taim. −1/37 bilong mani bilong bet long olgeta bet olpasin bilong Yurop.Ritim olgeta → long wan wan tanim em (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, em i 2.70% bilong $200. Spred em bet wankain oltaim i putim klos bilong pati.

Strateji bilong Bet Wankain Oltaim long Rulet

Ol tanim 1–10

19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Sikispela antap, wanpela sikispela namba, wanpela siro, tupela lus: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Bihain long ten tanim yumi antap $340, wantaim tupela tanim i lus na wan wan i kisim $200. Siro long tanim 6 i pe $160, na em tasol taim siro i pilim olsem pren.

tanimnambawanem i kamapwin truolgeta inap nau
119antap+$80+$80
227antap+$80+$160
371–12−$200−$40
433antap+$80+$40
515sikispela namba+$100+$140
60siro+$160+$300
723antap+$80+$380
831antap+$80+$460
9111–12−$200+$260
1029antap+$80+$340
Tanim sikis: bal i painim siro, na sip bilong $10 long en i mekim tanim i antap $160.

Ol tanim 11–20

5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. Tupela lus long ol namba wan sikispela tanim i pulim olgeta i go bek long +$280; bihain tripela antap na wanpela sikispela namba i pinisim sesen long +$620. Twenti tanim: 12 antap, 3 taim sikispela namba i kisim, 1 siro, 4 lus. Avarej win tru em −$108; tru em +$620, klostu 1.2 standet diviesenmatematikStandet diviesenSkwea rut bilong varians; hamas longwe resal i save stap long ekspektet velyu.Ritim olgeta → antap long avarej. Em i gutpela nait.

Dispela sesen na nainpela narapela olsemrisal na stat
+$5,500$0−$2,000+$1,640−$1,0000125250375500tanimrisal
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · vaiolet p10/p25/p75/p90, blu i no strong namba long namel, 82 eksampel i no klia tumas · muvim maus antap long sat long lukim ol kwantail long wanpela tanim
  • p10 −$2,000
  • p25 −$2,000
  • namba long namel −$2,000
  • p75 −$2,000
  • p90 +$780
1,000 sesen × 500 tanim · lain y i katim long 1 i go 99 pesen (namba i go longwe tru −$2,000 i go +$8,860) · 500 tanim · $200 bilong stat · Bet Bond i kalap planti hap
Bet bilong $200 wankain oltaim long 25 namba: win bilong $80–$160 klostu tupela tanim long tri, lus bilong $200 wanpela tanim long tri. Lain bilong avarej i go daun −$5.41 long wan wan tanim.

Kaunim mani

Olgeta mani yu betim $4,000 long twenti tanim. Avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → $108. Standet diviesen bilong wanpela tanim em klostu $135, olsem na twenti tanim i gat standet diviesen klostu $605; +$620 o moa em i nait i kamap wanpela taim long nainpela. Wankain twenti tanim long $200 wankain oltaim long retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta → bai i gat wankain avarej na i go antap na daun moa (σ ≈ $200 long wan wan tanim): spred i gat liklik variansmatematikVariansMak bilong hamas ol resal i kalap nabaut long ekspektet velyu. I bikpela long bet long wanpela namba, i liklik long bet wan-long-wan.Ritim olgeta → moa long bet wan-long-wanbetBet wan-long-wanRet/blak, od/iven, antap/daunbilo. 18 namba, pe em i 1:1.Ritim olgeta → long wanem em i win planti taim moa na liklik moa.

Wanem samting sesen i soim

Spred bilong Bond em tripela bet, na ol avarej bilong ol i bung i kamap −1/37 bilong olgeta, olsem olgeta bung bilong ol standet bet. Samting tru bilong en em i karamapim planti: em i win long 67.6% bilong ol tanim, na dispela i mekim nait i pilim olsem sistem. Ol 32.4% bilong ol tanim i lus i kisim $200 wan wan, na long longpela taim ol i kisim stret wanem matematik i tok. Maski long nem, em i no stap long ol buk stori bilong Fleming: Bond bilong em i putim bet long tupela dosenbetDosen1–12, 13–24 o 25–36, pe em i 2:1.Ritim olgeta →. Ol liklik buk bilong strateji i mekim narapela hap.

Rulet long Ol Buk StoriStrateji bilong Ol Dosen na Ol Kolam long Rulet

Ol askim

Spred i wok gutpela moa wantaim la partage?

Bet long antap em bet wan-long-wan, olsem na long tebol bilong Frans em i lusim $70 tasol long siro, i no $140, na siro i givim win tru +$230, i no +$160. Edj bilong olgeta wantaim klostu 1.8%. Em i gutpela moa, tasol em i lus yet.

Bilong wanem $140, $50, $10?

Ol dispela hap i mekim ol win i kamap klostu wankain: $80, $100, $160. Olgeta kain hap i givim wankain edj.

Em i bet wankain oltaim?

Yes. Yu putim $200 long wankain 25 namba long olgeta tanim. Mani na ol namba yu makim i no senis bihain long win o lus.

Liklik lap

Tupela hap long tri bilong wil. Wanpela hap long tri bilong ol taim, olgeta i lus.

Tupela hap long tri bilong wil. Wanpela hap long tri bilong ol taim, olgeta i lus.

Ol As bilong Save

  1. Fleming, I. Casino Royale. Jonathan Cape, 1953. Sapta 7: Bond i putim bet long tupela dosen, i no long dispela spred.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sapta 13, rulet.
mipela i skelim gen long 2026-09-28model: Yurop, wanpela sirometodoloji ↗ol as bilong save ↗