Strateji Martingale bilong Rulet
Strateji Martingale long rulet i dabolim bet bihain long olgeta lus na i go bek long bet bilong stat bihain long win. Wanwan win i kisim bek olgeta lus bipo na wanpela yunit bilong stat moa. Pes daunbilo i soim wanem samting dispela i mekim long mani bilong pilai, na bilong wanem em i no inap senisim avarej lus.
Olsem wanem sistem Martingale long rulet i wok?
Lus, na dabolim. Win, na go bek long bet bilong stat. Em olgeta sistem. Wantaim bet bilong stat $10 na mak bilong tebol $500, lain i pinis bihain long sikispela lus. Las kolam em i sans long kamap long dispela step long bet wan-long-wan, we wanwan lus i gat sans 19/37.
Bet bilong stat $10, mak bilong tebol $500. Bihain long sikispela lus, bet bihain em $640, antap long mak: progresen i bruk na $630 i lus. Sans bilong sikispela lus i bihainim lus long ret em (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, klostu wanpela taim long 55 traim.
Wokabaut long sistem
Lus i dabolim bet. Win i go bek long stat.
Ol bet na ol risal i stap long yunit bilong bet bilong stat.
Wanpela sesen i luk olsem wanem?
Liklik step i go antap, na bihain hul long graun. Long Martingale long rulet, wanwan ran bilong dabolim i pinis gut i putim wanpela bet bilong stat, olsem na lain i go antap isi isi. Ran i paitim mak $500 i kisim bek $630 wantaim: 63 bilong ol dispela step.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- namba long namel −$1,000
- p75 +$930
- p90 +$1,830
Simulata
Wanwan seting i ranim 2,000 sesen bilong ol bet wan-long-wan i stat long mani bilong pilai $1,000. Ol risal i senis kwiktaim.
Planti sesen i pinis wantaim liklik win (40.8%), na dispela em i pulim tingting. Avarej i daunbilo long siro (−$66.44) long wanem ol sesen i lus i bikpela: progresen i kamap long mak bilong tebol long 59.3% bilong ol sesen. Man i bet wankain oltaim long $10 long ol dispela tanim yet bai lusim klostu $27 long avarej.
Hamas taim ran bilong lus i save kamap
Bet wan-long-wan long wil i gat wanpela siro i save lus long 19 tanim long 37. Wanwan lain i soim sans olsem olgeta tanim long wanpela ran bai lus, na hamas mani pleia bilong Martingale, em i dabolim bet bihain long olgeta lus, i lusim inap long dispela taim.
| lus i bihainim lus | sans | klostu 1 long | lus inap nau | bet bihain |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $1,023 | $1,024 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $2,047 | $2,048 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $4,095 | $4,096 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $8,191 | $8,192 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $16,383 | $16,384 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $32,767 | $32,768 |
Sans em 19/37 taim em yet wanpela taim long wanwan lus, i stat long wanpela tanim. Longpela sesen i gat planti tanim we kain ran inap stat, olsem na long wanpela nait em i kamap planti moa long wanpela lain i soim.
Ran bilong fiftinpela lus i save kamap klostu wanpela taim long 22,000 traim. Em i luk olsem i no gat hevi. Tasol i gat hevi, long tupela as. Olgeta tanim i stat long nupela traim, na wanpela nait i gat planti handet tanim. Na nogat wanpela man i kamap long fiftin: long bet bilong stat $10, mak $500 i pinisim dabolim bihain long sikispela lus, na dispela i kamap klostu wanpela taim long 55 traim.
Bilong wanem em i no inap senisim ol ods?
Ekspektet velyu i save bung. Sapos wanwan bet i gat avarej −2.70% bilong mani bilong en, olgeta lain bet, maski yu makim mani bilong bet olsem wanem, i gat avarej −2.70% bilong olgeta mani yu betim. Yu ken makim bet long ol risal bipo; yu no inap makim long risal bihain.
yu makim bᵢ pastaim long tanim i; Xᵢ = ±1 i no hangamap long bᵢ
Ol tingting i no stret planti i save holim
Liklik lap
Planti liklik win, wanpela bikpela lus i no save kamap planti taim. Na yu yet i peim insurens.
