Strateji Paroli bilong Rulet (Martingale i Go Baksait)
Strateji Paroli bilong rulet i mekim bet i kamap tupela taim bihain long win, na i go bek long stat bihain long lus o bihain long tripela win long wanpela lain.
Em i no winim wil; em i senisim pasin tasol bilong ol lus i kamap. Paroli i putim wanpela bet bilong stat long mani bilong yu yet long wanpela saikel, na long ol narapela bet em i yusim ol win. Avarej lusmatematikAvarej lusEkspektet velyu taims olgeta mani yu betim; avarej mani yu lusim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim.Ritim olgeta → i no senis.
Wokabaut long sistem
Win i muv wanpela step i go het. Lus, o win namba tri, i go bek long stat.
Ol bet na ol risal i stap long yunit bilong bet bilong stat.
Sistem Paroli bilong rulet i wok olsem wanem?
Betim wanpela yunitmaniYunitMani bilong bet bilong stat we wanpela sistem o wanpela pleia i wok long en. Ol i stori long ol progresen long yunit, olsem na ol i ken wok long wanem tebol.Ritim olgeta →. Sapos yu win, lusim olgeta long tebol: neks bet em tupela. Win gen, na em i fopela. Win namba tri taim, kisim seven yunit win na go bek long wanpela. Sapos yu lus long wanem taim, yu go bek long wanpela tu. Em tasol sistem. Bihain long namba wan win, yu betim ol win, olsem na long wanpela saikel mani bilong pilaimaniMani bilong pilaiOlgeta mani yu putim long sait bilong pilai. Lukautim mani bilong pilai em i makim hamas long en yu redi long lusim long wanpela bet na long wanpela sesen.Ritim olgeta → bilong yu yet i no inap lusim moa long wanpela yunit. Tripela win wan-long-wan long wanpela lain i gat sansmatematikSansSans bilong wanpela resal, long 0 i go 1 o 0% i go 100%. Wanpela namba: 1/37 = 2.70%.Ritim olgeta → (18/37)³ = 11.5%, klostu wanpela saikel long nain.
Sesen i luk olsem wanem?
Mani i go daun isi isi, na sampela taim i kalap antap. Tingim yu baim wankain liklik tiket planti taim: wanwan i kostim wanpela yunit, planti i no givim samting, na klostu wanpela long nain i givim seven. Sans long pinisim sesen bilong 100 tanim wantaim win em i liklik (klostu 30%), long wanem planti sesen i no gat inap saikel i pinis bilong karamapim ol lus bilong wanpela yunit i kamap oltaim. Taim sesen i pinis wantaim win, planti taim em i bikpela win.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- namba long namel −$300
- p75 +$30
- p90 +$320
Sistem Paroli i save wok o nogat?
Nogat. Em i senisim pasin bilong ol lus, i no senisim bikpela bilong ol. Larim p = 18/37. Win 7 wantaim sans p³ = 0.115; lus 1 wantaim sans 1 − p³ = 0.885. Avarej risalt long wanpela saikel: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 yunit. Avarej yunit yu betim long wanpela saikel: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. Skelim: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. Olgeta sistem i givim dispela namba taim yu mekim dispela skelim.
Sampela i ting olsem ol sipmaniSipSamting i makim wanpela namba mani i no save senis, yu putim long laiaut bilong mekim bet. Narapela nem: check.Ritim olgeta → yu lusim long tebol em i mani bilong kasino, olsem na yu no lusim samting taim yu betim ol. Nogat, ol i bilong yu stat long taim kasino i peim yu, na olgeta wan yu putim gen long tebol i karim wankain 2.70%.
Na sapos yu wet long fopela win long wanpela lain?
ParolistratejiParoliPositive progresen: dabel bihain long win, go bek long stat bihain long lus o bihain long tripela win wan bihain long narapela. Narapela nem: Martingale i go baksait.Ritim olgeta → inap fopela win i senisim wanpela yunit i kamap 16, win tru bilong 15, wantaim sans (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. Taylor (2021) i askim wanpela askim i moa stret: sapos mani bilong pilai em i sampela yunit tasol, wanem sans long kisim wanpela ran olsem bipo mani bilong pilai i pinis? Olgeta saikel i pundaun i lusim stret wanpela yunit, olsem na wantaim 15 yunit bekim em 1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%. Dispela i winim 48.6% sapos yu putim olgeta 15 long retbetRetBet wan-long-wan long 18 namba ret. Tok Frans: rouge.Ritim olgeta → long wanpela taim. Tasol lukim ol narapela namba. Planti taim ran i kamap bihain long sampela saikel i pundaun, olsem na avarej win taim em i kamap em 9 yunit, i no 15. Na long wanem progresenstratejiProgresenWanem lo i senisim mani bilong bet long ol resal i go pinis. Negative progresen i mekim bet i go antap bihain long lus, positive progresen bihain long win.Ritim olgeta → i betim moa mani olgeta, avarej risalt bilong en i nogut moa long bilong wanpela bet.
Ples yu stop long en i senisim samting o nogat?
Em i senisim pasin tasol. Paroli inap tupela win (kisim 3) o fopela win (kisim 15) i senisim hamas taim yu kisim na hamas bikpela win, i no edj. “Parlay” long bet long wanpela namba (larim win bilong 35 long 1 i stap) em wankain tingting wantaim p = 1/37 na pemaniPeMani bet i win i givim yu, ol i tok olsem “X long 1”, antap long mani bilong bet i kam bek.Ritim olgeta → bilong 1,295 long 1 long tupela win wan-long-wan. Olsem na planti taim em i stori tasol, i no samting ol i save mekim.
Husat i save makim, na bilong wanem?
Ol pleia i laikim liklik lus tasol i gat mak long wanpela saikel, na ol i amamas long lus isi isi bilong kisim sans long bikpela win. Em i olsem glas bilong tingting bilong MartingalestratejiMartingaleProgresen i mekim bet i dabel bihain long olgeta lus. Lukim hap Strateji long wanem samting em i mekim na i no mekim.Ritim olgeta →: Martingale i mekim yu pilim olsem yu winman inap long nait yu no winman; Paroli i mekim yu pilim olsem yu lusman inap long nait yu no lusman. Long tupela rot, kasino i kisim 2.70% bilong olgeta mani yu betimmaniOlgeta mani yu betimOlgeta mani yu betim long wanpela sesen o long wanpela taim, wantaim mani yu win na yu betim gen. Narapela nem: handle, action.Ritim olgeta →.
Simulata · Paroli
2,000 sesen bilong bet wan-long-wan i stat long mani bilong pilai $1,000.
Bet bilong stat $10 · mak bilong tebol $500 · 100 tanim long wanwan sesen
Ol askim
Em i moa sef long wanpela samting: em i no inap givim wanpela bikpela lus nogut tru. Em i no moa sip: avarej lus long wanpela yunit yu betim em i wankain stret.
Long matematik, olgeta mak bilong stop i wok wankain. Ol i save makim tripela long wanem win (7 yunit) i luk olsem em i gutpela long wet long en, na hamas taim em i kamap (11.5%) i no nogut olgeta.
Liklik lap
Taim yu betim gen ol win, yu wok long bet yet.
Ol As bilong Save
- RouletteDoc. Lukluk long olgeta strateji bilong rulet.
- Roulette77. Stori bilong strateji na ol eksampel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, namba 2 edisen.
- Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, namba 2 edisen.